Here’s a 30 min YT presso from Sid Dekker on complex system failures and drift. Some extracts: · “this fascination with counting and tabulating little negative events, as if they are predictive of a big bad event over the horizon, is an illusion” · “We should be doing something quite different if we want to understand how your complex system… Continue reading The Pursuit of Success & Averting Drift into Failure – YT vid from Sidney Dekker
Tag: drift
Drifting into failure: Complexity theory and the management of risk
2013 paper from Dekker discussing drift into failure. Nothing new if you’ve read his 2011 book. Extracts: · “organizations do not just fail because of component breakage or linear propagations of breakdowns. Instead, failure breeds opportunistically, non-randomly, among the very structures designed to protect an organization from disaster” · “A common pattern seems to be a drift… Continue reading Drifting into failure: Complexity theory and the management of risk
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