When uncertainty and ignorance is abound on risk, should we ‘keep it simple’? Or keep it complex by debating multiple perspectives and embracing uncertainty and ambiguity? Extracts: · “When knowledge is uncertain, experts should avoid pressures to simplify their advice. Render decision-makers accountable for decisions” · “Expert advice is often thought most useful to policy when it… Continue reading ‘Keep It Complex’: perspectives on risk, uncertainty and ambiguity
Tag: uncertainty
Known risks = risk and unknown risks = uncertainty; some definitions of risk
Just recorded a pod on a paper discussing different notions of ‘risk’. Paul Slovic discusses risk as analysis vs risk as feelings (affect/emotion). It reminded me of these constructs of risk vs uncertainty based on Knights work – discussed by Gigerenzer and colleagues in the two attached extracts. Simply, for Knight, ‘risk’ is represented by… Continue reading Known risks = risk and unknown risks = uncertainty; some definitions of risk
Karl Weick: Leadership as the Legitimation of Doubt
An interesting article from Karl Weick discussing the merits of ‘leadership as the Legitimation of Doubt’. He argues the strengths of a leader saying ‘I don’t know’. Some extracts: · Providing an example, he argues that a leader saying “I don’t know,” … was a strong act of leadership, not a weak one” · “It was strong… Continue reading Karl Weick: Leadership as the Legitimation of Doubt
Does probability exist?
Really cool article talking about probability – does it exist? Is it an objective property of the world, or a subjective and constructed phenomenon? And more. Thanks to Ben Cattaneo for putting this on my radar. Can’t do this justice and I’ve skipped HEAPS, so check out the full paper. Thanks to **** for highlighting… Continue reading Does probability exist?
Trust, uncertainty and the reporting of workplace hazards and injuries
This study interviewed 121 workers across several Canadian sectors in temporary and permanent employment, exploring ways workers managed workplace hazards given employment insecurity. Not a summary – way too much to cover. Extracts: Ref: Hall, A. (2016). Trust, uncertainty and the reporting of workplaces hazards and injuries. Health, Risk & Society, 18(7-8), 427-448. Study link: https://doi.org/10.1080/13698575.2016.1264576 My… Continue reading Trust, uncertainty and the reporting of workplace hazards and injuries
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